Forex route

Forex route

The Dollar index largely maintained altitude through the N. Europe following weak EU PMIs, and forex route Bund yields, which weighed heavily on EUR-USD. The DXY peaked at six-session highs of 96.

USD-JPY slid to better than one-month lows of 109. 75, reacting to the sharply negative risk backdrop. EUR-USD fell to near two-week lows of 1. 1274, slicing through its 50- and 20-day moving averages at 1. 1323, respectively, during the European morning session following weak PMI data.

USD-JPY has given up the 110 handle, dropping to over one-month lows of 109. The risk-sensitive pairing has reacted to the sharp Wall Street sell-off today, prompted by fears of global economic slowing, and a slide in U. 74, the February 11 low, with resistance up at 110. 38, representing the 50-day moving average. Prime Minister May is reportedly looking to hold a third vote on her EU Withdrawal Agreement next Tuesday, although it remains unclear if the Speaker of the House of Commons will allow it having ruled that it must be substantially different for it to be voted on again.

What is clear is that the EU will not give a last-minute concession on the Irish backstop. EUR-CF continued its slide, dropping to two-month lows of 1. 1212 as the Euro continued to weaken following weak EU PMIs and negative Bund rates. Softening of European incoming data, and the likelihood the ECB will be on hold for the foreseeable future, means the SNB has no where to go now either. USD-CAD rallied to two-week highs of 1. 3400 following the Canada retail sales and CPI outcomes, where the former missed expectations, and the latter was close to forecasts. Domestic USD-CAD buying was rumored earlier from the North American open.

The next upside target comes at 1. 3440, which was the March 11 high. Elsewhere, WTI crude prices continue to fade lower on global growth concerns, also supportive of USD-CAD. The stalling economy sent the euro in negative territory, down 0. Private sector business activity slowed down significantly in France, and the Manufacturing Output Index is at a 3-month low. Ongoing protests are also not helping to inject confidence among the business community.